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Can market corrections happen even when the economy is strong?

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• The S&P 500 has spent 29% of time since 1927 trading 10% or more below a recent high, reinforcing that double-digit pullbacks are not unusual.
• The AI nervousness happens to be overlapping with a similar degree of concern for the U.S. job market.
• Such factors could keep stock prices on edge, they said, before noting the difficulty of predicting short-term stock performance.
• Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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This is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as specific investment advice. The Weekly Market Update is published every Friday, after market close. In fact, several indicators suggest growth may be firming as the industrial cycle turns a corner. But one “R” we do not expect in 2026 is a Recession, an outcome that would threaten the durability of the bull market. The Rotation, Repricing, and waning Risk appetite we’re seeing may contribute to choppy market conditions in the near term. We view the current phase as a rebalancing, one that is creating opportunities across sectors and helping normalize valuations after an extended period of concentrated growth leadership.

How investors approach market corrections

Corporate America continues to deliver strong earnings, so, in my opinion, the only way a potential sell-off turns into a bear market is if the weakness in the job market sparks an economic recession. Bear markets (measured by peak-to-trough declines of 20% or more) are rarer but still happen every six years or so. Stock market sell-offs can be unsettling, but they are the price investors pay for the opportunity to earn significant returns over the long term.